What are your predictions for 2018?

January 23rd, 2018 | Posted in: Features,People

THIS MONTH WE ASKED SOME OF THE KEY PEOPLE IN THE TRADE TO TELL US THEIR PREDICTIONS AND VIEWPOINT ON THE YEAR AHEAD. THANKS TO:

Andrew Morrison, Sales Director, MAXXIUM UK; John Gemmell, Commercial Director, HEINEKEN UK; Stuart Ellis, UK Sales Manager, Gordon & MacPhail; James Byrne, Retail Development Manager, Molson Coors; Steve Anand, Sales Director, Inverarity Morton; Alan Hay, Sales Director On-Trade, Tennent’s (pictured) ; Peter Risk, Senior National Account Manager, Diageo; Harry Greenhalgh, On-Trade Category Manager, William Grant & Sons UK Ltd. This is what they had to say:-

WHAT ARE YOUR PREDICTIONS FOR THIS YEAR?

ANDREW MORRISON: Bourbon is the next category to see the type of acceleration we have seen in gin. Whisky to continue to grow with consumers becoming more inquisitive and experimental. Casual dining / food occasions to continue to dominate why people visit the on trade. Maxxium to become the partner of choice in Scotland.

JOHN GEMMELL: MUP will come in to play, with more of an impact on the Off-Trade. Gin will continue to storm ahead in spirits. Craft beer will continue to grow and spread interest in beer, although there are clear signs that it is beginning to mature. Customers will need to pay particular attention to ranging and brand profitability. The other one that I expect to see is signs of premiumisation in draught cider. I remain very confident that the on trade remains in good shape.

STUART ELLIS: Similar to last year we expect gin to continue its growth, locally sourced product will become more and more relevant particularly in the gin category. The ‘buy less buy better’ phenomenon continues particularly within the single malt whisky category as consumers become more and more savvy about what they like and where they want to experiment with new flavour profiles from different distilleries

JAMES BYRNE: Great quality venues, with a range of brands and a story to tell will continue to go from strength to strength in 2018. Cheers to that!

STEVE ANAND:Seasonal and rotational products in every drinks category will become increasingly prominent. We will see greater interest in wines from lesser known grape varietals and countries as drinkers look for new taste experiences.

ALAN HAY: Last year we saw innovation across the licensed trade lead the way, whether it is the types of drinks on offer or the way in which the industry runs. We are witnessing increased usage of digital initiatives across the licensed trade. Services such as MyTennent’s were introduced in 2017 with the sole purpose of providing licensees with a single digital hub to aid the running of their business. In terms of drinks trends, we’re confident that premium serves will continue to grow, and in particular tank beer. In the last few years, consumer interest was piqued when tank beer took a resurgence and we were delighted to install our first tank dispense system in nearly three decades at The Citizen in Glasgow, serving consumers brewery fresh pints of Tennent’s Lager, something we’ll be looking to grow in 2018. We also expect craft to continue its growth, so stocking a brand like Drygate allows operators to tap into this growing trend and capitalise on the opportunity to sell drinks which often sit at a higher price point.

PETER RISK: The trend for premiumisation is still ongoing. We have seen premium spirits experience double-digit growth and drive total spirits performance, which really demonstrates that people are happily trading up in their purchases. Young people are drinking less, but they are seeking higher quality in their purchases – serves are going through a “make-under”. Wow-factor cocktails will always be sought after but lately, bartenders and mixologists are going back to basics with simple, no frills cocktails, focusing on quality spirits and making consumers think twice about what’s actually in
their glass. We expect to see Gin continue to surge in popularity due to the improved quality, diversity, and larger variety of mixers on offer – with the average pub now stocking four Gin brands on their bar. Similarly, we’ve seen a shift in the last few years away from malt whiskies carrying an age-statement, to more flavour-led products which are more diverse.

HARRY GREENHALGH: Continued movement towards premium products, alongside evolving cocktail menus in wider ranges of outlets Influence on the on-trade of key food and health trends like vegan/vegetarian eating, super-ingredients, and cuisines of the world. Success for venue types that combine multiple dimensions like food, drink, and social fun, like outdoor market-style nightlife spots.

AND FINALLY WE ASKED STEPHEN MCGOWAN OF LICENSING LAWYERS TLT WHAT HIS PREDICTIONS FOR THIS YEAR WERE…

2018 will be a big one for retailers when the minimum price starts in May. It will be interesting to see how LSOs are asked to check that the minimum price is being observed and if this will impact on their other duties. Also look out for possible further restrictions being debated such as a ban on alcohol advertising connected to sport, separate tills for alcohol in shops, and possibly more. Later this year all the licensing boards will be implementing new policies. There are already some suggestions that certain boards might be interested in changing licensed hours for pubs and clubs so this could be of benefit to some on trade operators. I also expect most boards to put in more focus on home delivery of alcohol which is a controversial topic at the moment.


Orry Shand named Chef of the Year at ScotHot

Mon 18th March 2019

Orry Shand, of Entier, won Scottish Chef of the Year at this year’s ScotHot at Glasgow’s SECC, sponsored by Brakes Sco... Read more.

Average spend on late-night out increases 15.5% to almost £70

Mon 18th March 2019

The average spend on a late-night out has increased 15.5% to £68.68, according to the latest Deltic Night Index, compared with £59.49 for ... Read more.

Scottish chefs set out vision to reform hospitality industry 

Thu 14th March 2019

More than 60 chefs and cooks from across Scotland have pledged their support to a new culinary manifesto, which aims to reform Scotland’s ... Read more.

SCALA boss welcomes Brexit delay

Thu 14th March 2019

Theresa May will make a third attempt to get her EU withdrawal deal through Parliament in the next week after MPS voted to reject a no-deal ... Read more.

Historic Auchtermuchty pub on the market

Wed 13th March 2019

The Forest Inn in Auchtermuchty is now on the market with offers invited for the three-storey property. Christie’s and Co in Edinburgh is ... Read more.

Hotfoot it to ScotHot

Wed 13th March 2019

Which licensee worth his or her salt isn’t looking for an opportunity to meet with suppliers, network with others to share ideas and i... Read more.

BUZZWORKS RETAINS ITS PLACE ALONGSIDE THE BEST IN UK 

Tue 12th March 2019

Buzzworks Holdings has been named in The Sunday Times 100 Best Companies to Work for in the UK for the fourth consecutive year. It recognise... Read more.

Edinburgh Craft Beer Festival returns for 2019 with foodie focus

Tue 12th March 2019

Edinburgh Craft Beer Festival returns to the city this May, from Friday 24 – Saturday 25 May, with a special foodie focus. It’s... Read more.

SCOTTISH LICENSEES RECOGNISED AT STAR AWARDS

Mon 11th March 2019

The achievements of top Scottish licensees were celebrated at Star Pubs & Bars’ annual Star Awards. The awards were the biggest ever h... Read more.

ScotHot study shines spotlight on mental health in hospitality sector

Mon 11th March 2019

Nearly 60% of people working in Scotland’s hospitality industry have experienced mental health problems at work, a new national survey has... Read more.

The Beer and Now

Thu 7th March 2019

It’s the world’s most popular drink after water and tea. There’s even a crater on the moon named after it. We’re talking about beer ... Read more.

BREWDOG LAUNCHES ITS FIRST DRAFT HOUSE PUB IN ABERDEEN

Thu 7th March 2019

BrewDog debuts its new Draft House pub called The Hop & Anchor, on Exchange Street, in its home city of Aberdeen, on Friday 8th March. I... Read more.

Whisky storms to the top of Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index with 40% annual growth

Thu 7th March 2019

The Wealth Report 2019 reveals that new entrant whisky has topped the Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index (KFLII), surging in value by 40% ... Read more.

QUILMES REFRESH AND NEW NAME

Wed 6th March 2019

Morgenrot’s Argentine beer brand Quilmes has undergone a full brand revamp including a new packaging makeover of its bottles and cans, and... Read more.

GREEN INK FOR PILSNER

Wed 6th March 2019

Carlsberg UK has unveiled a new, ‘better’ Carlsberg Danish Pilsner to minimise its environmental impact, with sustainable packaging and ... Read more.

Star Pubs & Bars injects £960,000 investment into four Edinburgh pubs

Tue 5th March 2019

Two multiple operators are undertaking major investments with Star Pubs & Bars as part of a £960,000 investment in four Edinburgh pubs ... Read more.

COUNTING HOUSE DOME RESTORATION

Tue 5th March 2019

The historic centre-piece domed ceiling at The Counting House in Glasgow’s George Square, Wetherspoon’s first pub in Scotland that opene... Read more.

Design Focus: The Crescent

Tue 5th March 2019

It’s been a long time coming, but Bubbles and Rahul Randev of the R Group have finally unveiled their latest Glasgow venture, The Crescent... Read more.

Design Focus: Cold Town House

Tue 5th March 2019

Bucket loads of divine design inspiration evidently rained down on Tibbatts Abel, the people responsible for the look and feel of Cold Town ... Read more.

Diageo launches new series of films to celebrate 2019 International Women’s Day

Mon 4th March 2019

As the world comes together this International Women’s Day on March 8th to celebrate #BalanceforBetter Diageo has released a new seri... Read more.